“Computer people are the last to guess what’s coming next. I mean, come on, they’re so astonished by the fact that the year 1999 is going to be followed by the year 2000 that it’s costing us billions to prepare for it.”
— Douglas Adams, 1999 — Cited by Stephen Fry
I was recently remarking to my mate Brian that it was he who first introduced me to the concepts of eBay and portable music players (eg iPod).
I recall him years ago describing the iRiver player he was covetting — and eventually bought, if my memory serves me correctly.
And I remember him describing this new online auctioning system. People would list their items, others would bid, a small fee would go to the auction company, and everybody would be happy. It was called “eBay”.
Brian was always an early adapter, and I hadn’t heard of these things, and neither had most of the general public.
In both these cases I my response was to think “What a stupid name. And what a stupid idea.”
And I thought Gmail was a hoax.
I guess I’m not very good at predicting technology trends.