Has Metro turned the corner on punctuality?
We already knew the May average had improved to a not very spectacular 82.2%, but the detailed figures might show better the first effects of the early May timetable change.
From January’s quite decent figures (which might reflect much-reduced patronage for the first few weeks of the month), there’s been a steady decline to April, but on most lines this was arrested in May, and on some things improved markedly.
Remember that in the background, patronage continues to grow, and this could partly account for the steady decline between February and April. Siemens speed restrictions have also had a big effect on the lines those trains run on.
Taking it group by group, on the Burnley lines punctuality has stopped dropping, and on the Glen Waverley line (which started running direct on weekdays until lunchtime) punctuality went up noticeably (from 88.2 to 91.7). But none of the lines are back up at the levels seen in January and February.
Similar story on the Clifton Hill group:
On the Northern group there’s an improvement in May, but clearly a long way to go. It’d be interesting to know if unhooking the Werribee/Williamstown lines interpeak on weekdays has helped here.
The new Cross City group shows a big jump, with Werribee up 12 percent and Frankston up 15 percent. It’s come at a cost though: the change to an impossible-to-remember 11/22 minute timetable for Werribee and Williamstown lines in peak, the much-hated Altona shuttles in off-peak, and a lot of padding in the timetables — yesterday for instance my train into the City in the morning departed South Yarra about 90 seconds early, and ended up having to wait at Richmond. There’s also the controversial removal of most trains from the City Loop.
The Pakenham/Cranbourne and Sandringham lines have also improved a lot. Sandringham is now run pretty much independently from other lines, and it shows. I wonder how much padding was added to Pakenham/Cranbourne line.
I expect these last two sets of figures to improve when the June figures are out, due to the lifting of Siemens speed restrictions. The 28 day rolling punctuality average is up at 88% now. (Update Wednesday morning: 88.1%.) But the question will be whether these figures can be sustained… after all, in most cases they’re only back at where things were in February. They’ve still got a long way to go.
Might be time for me to put my personal stats together again. What are others seeing on their travels?
- PS. For those who travel only in peak hour and think the punctuality can’t be that high (not even when the threshold for “late” is 5 minutes), this is worth reading: If on-time performance is 96%, why am I always late?